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AcademicACM, 2025

Profile fields predict career promotions almost perfectly but barely predict follower count, so what grows a LinkedIn audience sits outside the profile itself

Organic reach & algorithm


27%

of the variation in LinkedIn follower counts is explained by profile data, against 99% for promotions

Reader Note:
Based on mean R2 across four models: 0.2690 for followers and 0.9912 for promotions.
Evidence:
Observed behaviour
Vendor interest:
None
Sample:
62,706 anonymized LinkedIn profiles from a Kaggle dataset; original sampling method not clearly disclosed.

Good for

Comparing yourself against a similar segment, and choosing what to test next.

Not for

  • Saying that one thing caused another, or predicting what you would get.
  • This is an aggregated or average number that covers very different cases. Real results in a particular segment may differ.
  • The source never says when this data was collected. It could be considerably older than the publication date suggests.
  • The source says how much it looked at, but not how any of it was chosen.

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