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Household credit card spend shifts toward better-value brands

Buyer behaviour



Shift in household credit card spend toward better-value brands, by category

Shift in household credit card spend toward better-value brands, by category
CategoryShift toward more-value-for-the-price brands (%)
Grocery2%
Restaurants2%
Hotel1.8%
Apparel0.6%
Reader Note:
This comes from a Converge by Deloitte panel of about 5 million credit cards, March 2022 – February 2025. It shows how much spending share moved from “less-value-for-the-price” brands to “more-value-for-the-price” brands, rated at least 10% below or above the value their price predicts: grocery 2.0%, restaurants 2.0%, hotels 1.8%, apparel 0.6%. Automotive is excluded because cars are rarely bought by card. The data shows a link between perceived value and spending, not proof that one causes the other. The $1.3B estimate is Deloitte’s own calculation, based on the average revenue of the top 10 US grocers.
Evidence:
Observed behaviour
Vendor interest:
Moderate — This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.
Sample:
Mixed samples: main analysis uses 932,663 HundredX consumer responses across 290 brands over three years to February 2025; plus about 5 million credit card transactions, 43,560 TrustID survey respondents, 9,000 US ConsumerSignals survey respondents, and 300+ earnings calls and annual reports.

Good for

Comparing yourself against a similar segment, and choosing what to test next.

Not for

  • Saying that one thing caused another, or predicting what you would get.
  • This was measured in one market. It may not hold where you are.
  • This is an aggregated or average number that covers very different cases. Real results in a particular segment may differ.
  • The two groups were not split at random — they picked their own side. The difference may have been there before anything was measured.
  • This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.

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