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More Facebook engagement did not line up with more reach in this dataset

Engagement


-0.06517

was the correlation between engaged users and reach in the simulated 20-post Facebook dataset, showing almost no relationship

Reader Note:
This comes from the correlation matrix for a simulated dataset of 20 Facebook posts. The correlation between engaged users and reach is -0.06517, which is effectively near zero and slightly negative in this sample. The paper still argues for an engagement-to-growth pathway, but this particular pair of variables does not show that pattern in the table. Because the data is simulated and cross-sectional, the figure should be read only as a pattern within this small dataset, not as a general rule for Facebook performance.
Evidence:
Observed behaviour
Vendor interest:
None
Sample:
20 simulated Facebook post observations, modelled after open-access Kaggle-style data; each observation is a single post.

Good for

Getting a rough orientation, and deciding what to check yourself.

Not for

  • Saying that one thing caused another, or predicting what you would get.
  • The source never says when this data was collected. It could be considerably older than the publication date suggests.
  • The source never says how this number was measured.
  • This is one case — one company, one campaign, one account. Nothing implies it happens anywhere else.
  • The source talks about this as cause and effect — that is its reading, not a finding.

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