Vendor reportSemrush, 21 Jul 2025
AI search visitors are projected to surpass traditional search visitors by 2028
Channel validation
- Reader Note:
- This projection depends on past growth and adoption rates.
- Evidence:
- Modelled / projected
- Vendor interest:
- High — This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.
- Sample:
- Based on over 500 high-value digital marketing and SEO-related topics and subtopics, translated into specific search terms and prompts, tested across Google AI Overviews, Google AI Mode, ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity. Exact geographic scope and per-model query counts are not disclosed.
Good for
Planning with a rough expectation, and sanity-checking your own assumptions.
Not for
- Reporting as what happened. This is what a model expects, not what anyone counted.
- The source never says when this data was collected. It could be considerably older than the publication date suggests.
- This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.
- The source says how much it looked at, but not how any of it was chosen.




