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AI search visitors are projected to surpass traditional search visitors by 2028

Channel validation


Reader Note:
This projection depends on past growth and adoption rates.
Evidence:
Modelled / projected
Vendor interest:
High — This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.
Sample:
Based on over 500 high-value digital marketing and SEO-related topics and subtopics, translated into specific search terms and prompts, tested across Google AI Overviews, Google AI Mode, ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity. Exact geographic scope and per-model query counts are not disclosed.

Good for

Planning with a rough expectation, and sanity-checking your own assumptions.

Not for

  • Reporting as what happened. This is what a model expects, not what anyone counted.
  • The source never says when this data was collected. It could be considerably older than the publication date suggests.
  • This comes from a company with a commercial interest in this market, so it is not a neutral source.
  • The source says how much it looked at, but not how any of it was chosen.

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